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Objective To investigate the value of Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) in predicting the short- and long-term risks of death in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Methods A total of 317 patients with ACLF who attended The First Hospital of Lanzhou University from December 1, 2016 to December 1, 2021 were enrolled, and according to their prognosis, they were divided into death group with 169 patients and survival group with 148 patients. The two groups were analyzed in terms of clinical data and follow-up data. The group t -test or the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of continuous data between two groups, and the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. The univariate and multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression model analyses were used to investigate the influencing factors for the prognosis of ACLF patients. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot survival curves, and the Log-rank test was used for comparison of survival time between patients with different CCI scores. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the performance of CCI and other indices in assessing the prognosis of ACLF patients. Results Among the 317 patients, there were 225 (71.0%) male patients. There were significant differences between the death group and the survival group in age, hemoglobin, white blood cell count, total bilirubin, albumin, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, prothrombin time activity, CCI, age-adjusted Charlson co-morbidity index (ACCI), and follow-up time (all P < 0.05). The multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the CCI (hazard ratio [ HR ]=1.351, 95% confidence interval [ CI ]: 1.112-1.641, P =0.002), ACCI ( HR =1.200, 95% CI : 1.011-1.423, P =0.037), and MELD score ( HR =1.076, 95% CI : 1.054-1.099, P < 0.001) were independent risk factors for the prognosis of ACLF patients. Based on CCI score, the patients were divided into CCI ≤4 group with 167 patients, CCI=5 group with 64 patients, and CCI ≥6 group with 86 patients, with a 3-year mortality rate of 26.5%, 83.2%, and 96.9%, respectively, and there was a significant difference in survival time between any two groups after 3 years of follow-up and at the time of follow-up till September 2022 (all P < 0.001). CCI, ACCI, and MELD scores had an area under the ROC curve of 0.845, 0.811, and 0.790, respectively, in predicting the prognosis of ACLF patients. Conclusion As commonly used comorbidity assessment indices, CCI and ACCI scores have certain value in evaluating the short- and long-term prognosis of ACLF patients.
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Objective:To evaluate the value of age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (aCCI) in the clinical prognosis of sepsis and septic shock in the elderly, and to further explore the role of aCCI in evaluating the timing of Shenfu injection in elderly patients with septic shock.Methods:Clinical data of elderly patients with sepsis and septic shock in Dongzhimen Hospital of Beijing University of Chinese Medicine from January 1, 2019 to January 1, 2022 were retrospectively analyzed. With the median aCCI score of all samples as the cutoff value, the patients were divided into the low aCCI score group and high aCCI score group. The prognosis of elderly patients with septic shock and the application timing of Shenfu injection with aCCI score and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) were compared.Results:A total of 61 patients were included, including 31 patients in the high aCCI score group. The proportion of septic shock in elderly sepsis patients was lower in the low aCCI score group ( P < 0.05). The aCCI score (95% CI: 1.229-2.615; P< 0.01) was more valuable than SOFA score (95% CI: 1.035-1.607; P< 0.05) in predicting septic shock in elderly patients with sepsis. The 28-day survival rate in the low aCCI score group was higher than that in the high aCCI score group ( P < 0.05). Both the SOFA score (95% CI: 1.010-1.364) and the aCCI score (95% CI: 1.072-10.501) were independent factors affecting the 28-day survival rate. The use of Shenfu injection was associated with 28-day survival outcome in elderly patients with septic shock (95% CI: 0.012-0.788; P < 0.05). Conclusions:aCCI score is more effective than SOFA score in assessing the risk of shock in elderly patients with septic shock, and has a certain predictive value for the survival and prognosis of elderly patients with sepsis. Shenfu injection may be beneficial to the survival and prognosis of elderly patients with septic shock, but it needs to be further verified by large-scale prospective studies.
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Objective:To evaluate the predictive value of age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (ACCI) for in-hospital mortality and 1-year mortality in patients with acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD).Methods:This was a retrospective cohort study, and the clinical data of ATAAD patients admitted to Wuhan Union Hospital from January 1, 1999 to December 31, 2018 were collected for analysis. All the patients were confirmed by computed tomography angiography or magnetic resonance imaging of the aorta and the onset time was less than 14 days. Patients who survived at discharge were followed up to obtain 1-year survival information. The ACCI score was calculated for patients based on their comorbidities and age at admission, and they were divided into three groups of 0, 1 and ≥2 according to the ACCI score. The in-hospital mortality and 1-year mortality of the three groups were compared. Logistic regression analysis was applied to determine the independent predictors for in-hospital mortality and 1-year mortality.Results:Among 1 133 ATAAD patients, 383, 357 and 393 patients had ACCI score of 0, 1, and ≥2, respectively. The in-hospital mortality and 1-year mortality of patients with ACCI score ≥2 were significantly higher than those of patients with ACCI score of 0 (25.4% vs. 17.0%, 30.0% vs. 19.6%, both P<0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that ACCI score ≥2 was an independent risk factor for in-hospital mortality ( OR=1.670, 95% CI: 1.176-2.370, P=0.004) and 1-year mortality ( OR=1.762, 95% CI: 1.264-2.456, P<0.001). Age (per 10-year increase) and cerebrovascular diseases were independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality and 1-year mortality, while diabetes mellitus was a protective factor for in-hospital mortality. Conclusions:ACCI can predict the in-hospital mortality and 1-year mortality of ATAAD patients, and patients with ACCI score ≥2 have a poorer prognosis.
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Objective:To investigate the risk factors of postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) in the elderly patients with intertrochanteric fractures.Methods:The clinical data of elderly patients who underwent surgery for intertrochanteric fractures in Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University from July 2018 to December 2022 were retrospectively analyzed, which was divided into AKI group and non-AKI group according to whether AKI occurred after surgery, with 33 cases in the AKI group and 274 cases in the non-AKI group. The data from two groups of patients including age, gender, body mass index, underlying diseases, Charlson comorbidity index(CCI), pre- and postoperative related laboratory indicators, American Society of Anesthesiologists classification, anesthesia and surgical methods, operation time, intraoperative hypotension, blood transfusion, perioperative medication and other electronic case data were compared. Measurement data with normal distribution were represented as the mean±standard deviation ( ± s), and comparison between groups was conducted using t-test. The measurement data of non-normal distribution were expressed by median (interquartile range) [ M( Q1, Q3)], and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison between groups. Comparison between groups of count data was conducted using the Chi-square test or Fisher exact test. Univariate analysis was conducted on the pertinent indicators of the two groups, and the indicators with statistically significant were chosen for incorporation into the multivariate Logistic regression analysis to investigate the independent risk factors for postoperative AKI. Results:The incidence of postoperative AKI was 10.75% in elderly patients with intertrochanteric fractures. Results of the univariate analysis showed that there were significant differences between the two groups in diabetes mellitus, chronic kidney disease, CCI ≥2, baseline serum creatinine, preoperative blood urea nitrogen, preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate, preoperative and early postoperative serum albumin levels, intraoperative hypotension, and perioperative blood transfusion( P<0.05). Results of multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that CCI ≥ 2 ( OR =3.231, 95% CI: 1.150-9.074, P =0.026) and intraoperative hypotension ( OR =4.617, 95% CI: 1.746-12.205, P=0.002) were associated with the occurrence of AKI after intertrochanteric fracture surgery. Conclusion:CCI≥2 and intraoperative hypotension are independent risk factors of postoperative AKI in the elderly patients with intertrochanteric fractures.
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OBJECTIVE@#To explore the characteristics of comorbidities in patients with osteoporosis(OP) and factors associated health-related quality of life, so as to provide decision-making reference for improving the ability of disease co-prevention and co-treatment and the patient's life-cycle quality of life.@*METHODS@#From November 2017 to July 2018, clinical information and biological samples from residents in 10 communities in Chaoyang District and Fengtai Distric of Beijing were collected, and bone density testing was conducted. Based on the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), the comorbidity of the population was quantified, and grouped according to factors such as gender, age, and the differences between the groups were explored. Combined with the clinical information of patients, the difference characteristics of comorbidity and non-comorbidity population were analyzed. Pearson/Spearman correlation analysis and binary Logistic regression analysis were used to explore the factors affecting the health-related quality of life in patients with OP.@*RESULTS@#Among the 521 OP patients, 121 patients had no comorbidities, and there were 153, 106, 65, and 30 patients with one, two, three, and four comorbidities, respectively, 46 patients with 5 or more kinds of comorbidites. Hypertension was the most common comorbidity in OP patients, accounting for 21.60%;followed by hyperlipidemia, accounting for 13.51%. The most common combination of the two diseases was hypertension plus hyperlipidemia (64 cases, 12.28%). Through the analysis of differences between age groups, it was found that the older patients, showed higher the CCI, and the difference between groups was statistically significant(Z=1.93, P=0.05). There were significant differences in the total EQ-5D score and the dimensions of anxiety and depression between patients with comorbidities (CCI≠0) and non-comorbidities (CCI=0) (Z=-2.67, P=0.01;Z=-2.44, P=0.02). Correlation analysis found that CCI, history of fracture, history of falls, hip bone mineral density T value and parathyroid hormone were all related to the health-related quality of life in OP patients (P<0.05). Binary Logistic regression analysis suggested that the right hip bone mineral density T value (P=0.02), CCI (P=0.01), fracture history (P=0.03) and fall history (P=0.01) were the risk factors that affect the health-related quality of life in OP patients.@*CONCLUSION@#The burden of comorbidities among middle-aged and elderly OP populations in Beijing is relatively heavy, and the health management of such populations should be further strengthened, specifically the combination of multiple comorbidities should be given high priority. Comorbid factors are of great importance for the diagnosis and treatment strategy of OP patients, which could further improve the quality of life.
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Aged , Middle Aged , Humans , Quality of Life , Osteoporosis/epidemiology , Comorbidity , Risk Factors , Fractures, Bone , Hypertension/epidemiologyABSTRACT
Objective:To investigate the relationship between age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (aCCI) and ischemic stroke in patients with ophthalmic artery occlusion (OAO) or retinal artery occlusion (RAO).Methods:A single center retrospective cohort study. Seventy-four patients with OAO or RAO diagnosed by ophthalmology examination in Shenzhen Second People's Hospital from June 2004 to December 2020 were included in the study. The baseline information of patients were collected and aCCI was used to score the patients' comorbidity. The outcome was ischemic stroke. The median duration of follow-up was 1 796.5 days. According to the maximum likelihood ratio of the two-piecewise COX regression model and the recursive algorithm, the aCCI inflection point value was determined to be 6, and the patients were divided into low aCCI group (<6 points) and high aCCI group (≥6 points). A Cox regression model was used to quantify the association between baseline aCCI and ischemic stroke.Results:Among the 74 patients, 53 were males and 21 were females, with the mean age of (55.22±14.18) (19-84) years. There were 9 patients of OAO and 65 patients of RAO. The aCCI value ranges from 1 to 10 points, with a median of 3 points. There were 63 patients (85.14%, 63/74) in the low aCCI group and 11 patients (14.86%, 11/74) in the high aCCI group. Since 2 patients could not determine the time from baseline to the occurrence of outcome events, 72 patients were included for Cox regression analysis. The results showed that 16 patients (22.22%, 16/72) had ischemic stroke in the future. The baseline aCCI in the low aCCI group was significantly associated with ischemic stroke [hazard ratio ( HR)=1.76, 95% confidence interval ( CI) 1.21-2.56, P=0.003], and for every 1 point increase in baseline aCCI, the risk of future ischemic stroke increased by 76% on average. The baseline aCCI in the high aCCI group had no significant correlation with the ischemic stroke ( HR=0.66, 95% CI 0.33-1.33, P=0.247). Conclusions:aCCI score is an important prognostic information for patients with OAO or RAO. A higher baseline aCCI score predicts a higher risk of ischemic stroke, and the association has a saturation effect.
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Objective:To investigate the correlation between the Charlson Comorbidity Index(CCI)and the length of hospital stay(LOS)in patients treated with hip or knee arthroplasty(THA or TKA).Methods:A total of 1968 patients who had received total hip or knee arthroplasty between 2019 and 2020 were reviewed.Preoperative complications were assessed by CCI, and binary Logistic regression analysis was used to examine the association between CCI and LOS.Results:THA patients with a CCI score of 0 hada mean LOS of (5.06±1.65)d.THA patients with a CCI score of 1, 2, 3, or 4-6 stayed longer by(5.29±2.09)d( Z=3.342, P=0.001), (5.62±1.62)d( Z=5.410, P<0.001), (5.26±1.62)d, ( Z=5.106, P<0.001)or (7.54±3.17)d, ( Z=5.109, P<0.001), compared with those with CCI=0, indicating CCI was a predictor of prolonged LOS in THA patients.The average hospital stay for TKA patients with CCI=0 was(5.39±1.36)d, and the average hospital stay for TKA patients with CCI=2, 3, or 4-6 was longer than that for patients with CCI=0 by(5.66±1.43)d, ( Z=5.394, P<0.001), (5.59±1.40)d, ( Z=5.394, P<0.001), or(5.62±1.12)d, ( Z=3.455, P<0.001), also proving CCI as a predictor of prolonged LOS in TKA patients. Conclusions:The CCI score of THA or TKA patients can be used to assess the length of hospital stay.
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Objective:To investigate the influences of age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (ACCI) on prognosis of patients undergoing laparoscopic radical gastrectomy.Methods:The retrospective cohort study was conducted. The clinicopathological data of 242 gastric cancer patients who underwent laparoscopic radical gastrectomy in 19 hospitals of the Chinese Laparoscopic Gastrointestinal Surgery Study Group-04 study, including 54 patients in Fujian Medical University Union Hospital, 32 patients in the First Hospital of Putian City, 32 patients in Renji Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, 31 patients in Zhangzhou Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, 17 patients in Nanfang Hospital of Southern Medical University, 11 patients in the First Affiliated Hospital with Nanjing Medical University, 8 patients in Qinghai University Affiliated Hospital, 8 patients in Meizhou People′s Hospital, 7 patients in Fujian Provincial Hospital, 6 patients in Zhongshan Hospital of Fudan University, 6 patients in Longyan First Hospital, 5 patients in the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, 5 patients in the First Hospital Affiliated to Army Medical University, 4 patients in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, 4 patients in West China Hospital of Sichuan University, 4 patients in Beijing University Cancer Hospital, 3 patients in the First Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen University, 3 patients in Guangdong Provincial People′s Hospital, 2 patients in the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi′an Jiaotong University, from September 2016 to October 2017 were collected. There were 193 males and 49 females, aged 62(range, 23?74)years. Observation indicators: (1) age distribution, comorbidities and ACCI status of patients; (2) the grouping of ACCI and comparison of clinicopathological characteristics of patients in each group; (3) incidence of postoperative early complications and analysis of factors affecting postoperative early complications; (4) follow-up; (5) analysis of factors affecting the 3-year recurrence-free survival rate of patients. Follow-up was conducted using outpatient examination or telephone interview to detect postoperative survival of patients up to December 2020. Measurement data with normal distribution were represented as Mean± SD, and comparison between groups was conducted using the t test. Measurement data with skewed distribution were represented as M( Q1, Q3) or M(range), and comparison between groups was conducted using the Mann-Whitney U test. Count data were described as absolute numbers or percentages, and comparison between groups was conducted using the chi-square test or Fisher exact probability. Comparison of ordinal data was conducted using the nonparametric rank sum test. The X-Tile software (version 3.6.1) was used to analyze the best ACCI grouping threshold. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate survival rates and draw survival curves. The Log-Rank test was used for survival analysis. The Logistic regression model was used to analyze the factors affecting postoperative early complications. The COX proportional hazard model was used for univariate and multivariate analyses of factors affecting the 3-year recurrence-free survival rate of patients. Multivariate analysis used stepwise regression to include variables with P<0.05 in univariate analysis and variables clinically closely related to prognosis. Results:(1) Age distribution, comor-bidities and ACCI status of patients. Of the 242 patients, there were 28 cases with age <50 years, 68 cases with age of 50 to 59 years, 113 cases with age of 60 to 69 years, 33 cases with age of 70 to 79 years. There was 1 patient combined with mild liver disease, 1 patient combined with diabetes of end-organ damage, 2 patients combined with peripheral vascular diseases, 2 patients combined with peptic ulcer, 6 patients combined with congestive heart failure, 8 patients combined with chronic pulmonary diseases, 9 patients with diabetes without end-organ damage. The ACCI of 242 patients was 2 (range, 0-4). (2) The grouping of ACCI and comparison of clinicopathological characteristics of patients in each group. Results of X-Tile software analysis showed that ACCI=3 was the best grouping threshold. Of the 242 patients, 194 cases with ACCI <3 were set as the low ACCI group and 48 cases with ACCI ≥3 were set as the high ACCI group, respectively. Age, body mass index, cases with preoperative comorbidities, cases of American Society of Anesthesiologists classification as stage Ⅰ, stage Ⅱ, stage Ⅲ, tumor diameter, cases with tumor histological type as signet ring cell or poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma and cases with tumor type as moderately or well differentiated adenocarcinoma, cases with tumor pathological T staging as stage T1, stage T2, stage T3, stage T4, chemotherapy cycles were (58±9)years, (22.6±2.9)kg/m 2, 31, 106, 85, 3, (4.0±1.9)cm, 104, 90, 16, 29, 72, 77, 6(4,6) in the low ACCI group, versus (70±4) years, (21.7±2.7)kg/m 2, 23, 14, 33, 1, (5.4±3.1)cm, 36, 12, 3, 4, 13, 28, 4(2,5) in the high ACCI group, showing significant differences in the above indicators between the two groups ( t=-14.37, 1.98, χ2=22.64, Z=-3.11, t=-2.91, χ2=7.22, Z=-2.21, -3.61, P<0.05). (3) Incidence of postoperative early complications and analysis of factors affecting postoperative early complications. Of the 242 patients, 33 cases had postoperative early complications, including 20 cases with local complications and 16 cases with systemic complica-tions. Some patients had multiple complications at the same time. Of the 20 patients with local complications, 12 cases had abdominal infection, 7 cases had anastomotic leakage, 2 cases had incision infection, 2 cases had abdominal hemorrhage, 2 cases had anastomotic hemorrhage and 1 case had lymphatic leakage. Of the 16 patients with systemic complications, 11 cases had pulmonary infection, 2 cases had arrhythmias, 2 cases had sepsis, 1 case had liver failure, 1 case had renal failure, 1 case had pulmonary embolism, 1 case had deep vein thrombosis, 1 case had urinary infection and 1 case had urine retention. Of the 33 cases with postoperative early complications, there were 3 cases with grade Ⅰ complications, 22 cases with grade Ⅱ complications, 5 cases with grade Ⅲa complications, 2 cases with grade Ⅲb complications and 1 case with grade Ⅳ complica-tions of Clavien-Dindo classification. Cases with postoperative early complications, cases with local complications, cases with systemic complications were 22, 13, 9 in the low ACCI group, versus 11, 7, 7 in the high ACCI group, respectively. There were significant differences in cases with postoperative early complications and cases with systemic complications between the two groups ( χ2=4.38, 4.66, P<0.05), and there was no significant difference in cases with local complications between the two groups ( χ2=2.20, P>0.05). Results of Logistic regression analysis showed that ACCI was a related factor for postoperative early complications of gastric cancer patients undergoing laparoscopic radical gastrectomy [ odds ratio=2.32, 95% confidence interval ( CI) as 1.04-5.21, P<0.05]. (4) Follow-up. All the 242 patients were followed up for 36(range,1?46)months. During the follow-up, 53 patients died and 13 patients survived with tumor. The 3-year recurrence-free survival rate of the 242 patients was 73.5%. The follow-up time, cases died and cases survived with tumor during follow-up, the 3-year recurrence-free survival rate were 36(range, 2-46)months, 29, 10, 80.0% for the low ACCI group, versus 35(range, 1-42)months, 24, 3, 47.4% for the high ACCI group. There was a significant difference in the 3-year recurrence-free survival rate between the two groups ( χ2=30.49, P<0.05). (5) Analysis of factors affecting the 3-year recurrence-free survival rate of patients. Results of univariate analysis showed that preoperative comorbidities, ACCI, tumor diameter, histological type, vascular invasion, lymphatic invasion, neural invasion, tumor pathological TNM staging, postoperative early complications were related factors for postoperative 3-year recurrence-free survival rate of gastric cancer patients undergoing laparoscopic radical gastrectomy [ hazard ratio ( HR)=2.52, 3.64, 2.62, 0.47, 2.87, 1.90, 1.86, 21.77, 1.97, 95% CI as 1.52-4.17, 2.22-5.95, 1.54-4.46, 0.27-0.80, 1.76-4.70, 1.15-3.12, 1.10-3.14, 3.01-157.52, 1.11-3.50, P<0.05]. Results of multivariate analysis showed that ACCI, tumor pathological TNM staging, adjuvant chemotherapy were indepen-dent influencing factors for postoperative 3-year recurrence-free survival rate of gastric cancer patients undergoing laparoscopic radical gastrectomy ( HR=3.65, 11.00, 40.66, 0.39, 95% CI as 2.21-6.02, 1.40-86.73, 5.41-305.69, 0.22-0.68, P<0.05). Conclusions:ACCI is a related factor for post-operative early complications of gastric cancer patients undergoing laparos-copic radical gastrectomy. ACCI, tumor pathological TNM staging, adjuvant chemotherapy are indepen-dent influencing factors for postoperative 3-year recurrence-free survival rate of gastric cancer patients undergoing laparoscopic radical gastrectomy.
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OBJECTIVE@#To compare the efficacy and safety of different chemotherapy regimens in elderly multiple myeloma (MM) patients with different Frailty scores.@*METHODS@#The clinical data of elderly patients with MM were retrospectively analyzed, including age, treatment regimen, efficacy, adverse reactions, and the Frailty score included in the activity of daily living score, the instrumental activity of daily living scale and the Charlson comorbidity index. The patients were divided into fit group, mediate fit group and frail group according to the scoring standard. The treatment efficiency and adverse reaction rates of elderly MM with different physical conditions treated by different chemotherapy regimens were analyzed.@*RESULTS@#Among the 70 patients, the effective rates of the patients in fit group, the mediate fit group, and the frail group were 79.5%, 81%, and 40%, and the effective rates of the fit patients in double and triple groups were 54.5% and 89.3%, 70% and 90.9% for mediate fit patients, 42.9% and 33.3% for frail patients, the triple regimen in fit patients showed obvious advantages, and the difference showed statistically significant (P<0.05), while the efficacy for mediate patients and frail patients showed no significant difference. During the induction of bortezomib, the incidence of adverse reactions for the patients in the triple group (78.6%) was higher than 67.9% in the double group, and the difference showed no statistically significant (P>0.05).There was no significant difference in the 1-year overall survival rate of the patients and with molecular genetic abnormalities among each groups.@*CONCLUSION@#The therapeutic effect is related to the patient's physical condition. For patients with healthy physique, the triple regimen should be used first. For patients with weak physical constitution, the chemotherapy regimen with low drug toxicity should be selected for safety.
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Aged , Humans , Bortezomib , Frailty , Multiple Myeloma/drug therapy , Retrospective StudiesABSTRACT
Objective:To investigate the predictive value of Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) in the operative prognosis of colorectal cancer (CRC).Methods:The retrospective cohort study was conducted. The clinicopathological data of 1 337 CRC patients who underwent surgery in the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University from January 2013 to February 2019 were collected. There were 774 males and 563 females, aged 62(range, 22?80)years. All patients were evaluated by CCI. Observation indicators: (1) clinicopathological characteristics of CRC patients undergoing operation; (2) follow-up and survival; (3) prognostic factors analysis of CRC patients undergoing operation; (4) establishment and evaluation of a nomogram prediction model based on CCI. Follow-up was conducted using the telephone interview or outpatient examination to detect the survival of patients up to March 2020. Measurement data with normal distribution were represented as Mean± SD, and comparison between groups was analyzed using the t test. Measurement data with skewed distribution were described as M(range) or M( Q1, Q3), and comparison between groups was analyzed using the Mann-Whitney U test. Count data were described as absolute numbers or percentages, and comparison between groups was analyzed using the chi-square test. Non-para-meter rank sum test was used for comparison of ordinal data. The Kaplan‐Meier method was used to calculate survival rates and draw survival curves, and Log-Rank test was used for survival analysis. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using the COX proportional hazard regression model. The independent risk factors were included into R4.0.4 software to construct a nomogram prediction model. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn, and the area under curve (AUC) was used to evaluate discrimination of the nomogram prediction model. The C-index and calibration chart were used to evaluate consistency of the nomogram prediction model. Results:(1) Clinicopathological characteristics of CRC patients undergoing operation. Of the 1 337 patients, there were 1 041 cases with CCI ≤3 and 296 cases with CCI ≥4. Age, cases with non-smoking history, smoking cessation or smoking history, cases without or with R 0 resection, cases with low, moderate, well differentiated tumor, cases in stage Ⅰ?Ⅱ or Ⅲ?Ⅳ of clinical TNM staging, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) were 61(53,68)years, 717, 43, 281, 12, 1 029, 123, 859, 59, 666, 375, 3.22(1.84,7.75)μg/L for the 1 041 patients with CCI ≤3, versus 70(61,75)years, 217, 19, 60, 43, 253, 48, 237, 11, 102, 194, 5.55(2.43,17.64)μg/L for the 296 patients with CCI ≥4, showing significant differences in the above indicators between them ( Z=?10.50, χ2=7.34, 104.51, Z=?2.31, χ2=82.14, Z=?5.78, P<0.05). (2) Follow-up and survival. All the 1 337 patients were followed up for 31(range, 1?84)months. Of the 1 337 patients, 1 024 cases survived and 313 cases died. The 1-, 3-, 5-year survival rates were 94.8%, 85.5%, 80.1% for the 1 041 patients with CCI ≤3, versus 73.6%, 46.9%, 34.0% for the 296 patients with CCI ≥4, showing significant differences between them ( χ2=181.93, P<0.05). (3) Prognostic factors analysis of CRC patients undergoing operation. Results of univariate analysis showed that age, smoking history (having a history of smoking), tumor location (decending colon-sigmoid colon, recto-sigmoid junction-rectum), R 0 resection, tumor differentiation degree (moderate differentiation, well differentiation), clinical TNM staging, postoperative radio-therapy and chemotherapy, preoperational CEA and CCI were related factors for operative prognosis of CRC patients ( odds ratios=1.76, 0.71, 0.72, 0.61, 0.08, 0.39, 0.13, 3.02, 0.60, 2.41, 4.96, 95% confidence intervals as 1.39?2.23, 0.53?0.93, 0.52?0.99, 0.47?0.78, 0.06?0.11, 0.30?0.50, 0.05?0.31, 2.39?3.81, 0.48?0.76, 1.92?3.01, 3.97?6.20, P<0.05). Results of multivariate analysis showed that age >60 years, clinical TNM staging as stage Ⅲ?Ⅳ, preoperational CEA >5 μg/L and CCI ≥4 were independent risk factors for operative prognosis of CRC patients ( odds ratios=1.29, 1.88, 1.77, 2.84, 95% confidence intervals as 1.00?1.65, 1.45?2.44, 1.40?2.23, 2.20?3.67, P<0.05);tumor located in descending colon to sigmoid colon and recto-sigmoid junction to rectum, R 0 resection,tumor differen-tiation degree as moderate and well differentiation, postoperative radiotherapy and chemotherapy were independent protect factors for operative prognosis of CRC patients ( odds ratios=0.71, 0.72, 0.27, 0.50, 0.25, 0.56, 95% confidence intervals as 0.51?0.98, 0.56?0.93, 0.19?0.37, 0.38?0.65, 0.10?0.62, 0.44?0.70, P<0.05) (4) Establishment and evaluation of a nomogram prediction model based on CCI. Based on age, tumor location, R 0 resection, tumor differentiation degree, clinical TNM staging, postoperative radiotherapy and chemotherapy, preoperational CEA and CCI of multivariate analysis results, a nomogram prediction model for operative prognosis of CRC patients was established. The nomogram score was 1.0 for age >60 years, 18.0 for tumor located in proximal colon, 9.0 for tumor located in distal colon, 53.0 for non-R 0 resection, 62.0 for low differentiated tumor, 31.0 for morderate differentiated tumor, 32.0 for stage Ⅲ?Ⅳ of clinical TNM staging, 26.0 for no postoperative radiotherapy and chemotherapy, 4.6 for each increase of 100 μg/L in preoperative CEA and 12.6 for each increase of 1 score in CCI respectively. The total of different scores for risk factors was used to evaluate total 1, 3, 5-year survival rates. The ROC curve was drawn to evaluate the predictive ability for prognosis of nomogram model, with the AUC as 0.75 (95% confidence interval as 0.71?0.79, P<0.05). The C-index was 0.80 (95% confidence interval as 0.77?0.72). The calibration chart showed a good consistency between the probability of survival predicted by nomogram and the actual probability of survival. Conclusions:Age >60 years, stage Ⅲ?Ⅳ of clinical TNM staging, preoperational CEA >5 μg/L and CCI ≥4 are independent risk factors for operative prognosis of CRC patients. Tumor located in descending colon to sigmoid colon and recto-sigmoid junction to rectum, R 0 resection, tumor differentiation degree as moderate and well differentiation, postoperative radiotherapy and chemotherapy are independent protective factors for operative prognosis of CRC patients. The nomogram prediction model contributes to prediction of the survival of CRC patients.
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Resumen: Introducción: Las fracturas de cadera representan una causa importante de morbimortalidad en los adultos mayores. La mortalidad a un año posterior a una fractura de cadera incrementa entre 14 y 47%. El objetivo de este estudio fue analizar los factores de riesgo que impactan la tasa de mortalidad posterior a una fractura de cadera en una población de bajos recursos. Material y métodos: Se analizaron de manera retrospectiva pacientes con fractura de cadera traumática en un período de cuatro años en un hospital universitario con entrenamiento ortopédico. Los datos recolectados incluyeron edad, género, índice de comorbilidad de Charlson (CCI), tiempo en días para la cirugía y duración del procedimiento quirúrgico, así como necesidad de transfusión. Se analizaron dos grupos, pacientes vivos y pacientes fallecidos. Resultados: Se evaluó un total de 96 adultos mayores con fractura de cadera. La tasa de mortalidad durante el primer año fue de 16.6%, mientras que al final del seguimiento fue de 32.2%. El grupo de sobrevivientes presentó una mejor evaluación de acuerdo con el CCI con valor de 4.2 ± 1.1 versus 5.2 ± 1.0 en los pacientes fallecidos. No se encontró diferencia estadísticamente significativa en la mortalidad entre ambos grupos al comparar los días de espera de tiempo quirúrgico y la duración de la cirugía. Conclusión: El retraso de la cirugía no afecta la tasa de mortalidad después de una fractura de cadera en pacientes de edad avanzada con bajo ingreso económico.
Abstract: Introduction: Hip fracture are an important cause of morbidity and mortality in old patients. The one-year mortality after a hip fracture increase between 14 to 47%. The main objective was to analyze the risk factors associated with mortality after a hip fracture in a low-income population. Material and methods: Retrospective study of patients with traumatic hip fracture in a four-year period in an orthopedic training hospital. The data collected was age, gender, Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), delay time in days for surgery, duration in hours for surgical procedure, transfusion. Two groups were analyzed, alive patients and deceased patients. Results: A total of 96 patients with traumatic hip fracture was analyzed. Mortality rate in the first year was pf 16.6%, and at the end of the follow-up was 32.2%. The alive patients showed better values of CCI with a value of 4.2 ± 1.1 versus 5.2 ± 1.0 in the deceased patients. When compared delay time for surgery and duration of surgical procedure did not observe significant difference between patients alive and deceased. Conclusion: The delay time of surgery did not affect the mortality after a traumatic hip fracture in old patients with economic low-income.
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Objective:To analyze the association between the Charlson Comorbidity Index(CCI)and the risk of early in-hospital death in cerebral hemorrhage inpatients.Methods:Basic personal and medical information about sex, age, surgery, frequency of hospitalization, days of hospitalization, and ICD-10 diagnosis code was collected for intracerebral hemorrhage patients aged 60 or above admitted to a tertiary general hospital from January 1, 2017 to December 31, 2019.The CCI score was calculated based on diagnoses at the time of discharge.Using the CCI score as the dependent variable and in-hospital death as the independent variable, univariate and multiple logistic regression analysis was conducted to examine the association between CCI and in-hospital death.The receiver operator characteristic curve(ROC)was used to assess the value of CCI in predicting death.Results:A total of 504 cerebral hemorrhage inpatients were included in the study, with an average age of 69.48±7.55 years, and 52 died during the period.Univariate Logistic regression showed that, compared with inpatients with CCI=3, the OR values(95% CI)for inpatients with CCI=4 and CCI≥5 were 2.145(1.056-4.355)and 4.769(2.168-10.494), respectively.Multiple Logistic regression showed that, compared with inpatients with CCI=3, the OR(95% CI)for inpatients with CCI≥5 was 4.453(1.474-13.456), The area under the ROC curve was 0.718, with 95% CI at 0.642-0.793( P<0.001). Conclusions:The CCI score was associated with the risk of early in-hospital death in elderly patients with cerebral hemorrhage and can be used to assess and predict the risk of early in-hospital death for these patients.
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Leiomyosarcoma of uterine cervix constitute a very rare but aggressive group of neoplasms of the cervix with poor prognosis. Although recognised as a distinct entity, treatment algorithms and overall management strategies rely on suggestions from uterine counterparts as robust data on management of the cervical leiomyosarcoma, especially when advanced, is scarce. Present case was a 51-year-old perimenopausal woman with acyclic vaginal bleeding and dyspnoea on ordinary physical activity. On examining, a firm hypogastric mass of 14 weeks was found abdominally and a pedunculated, polypoidal hard mass of 5X5 cm with a 2 cm thick peduncle coming out of endocervical canal (confirmed on CT) was noted hanging outside vagina. Histopathology suggested cervical leiomyosarcoma. Triple vessel disease and severe cardiac dysfunction (LVEF=30%) with large left ventricular thrombus rendered the patient at very high risk for mortality during surgery. Systematic comorbidity assessment with due consideration to risk-benefit ratio of all treatment options was undertaken and neoadjuvant chemotherapy was started after multidisciplinary recommendation. Patient tolerated the first cycle of chemotherapy well but died of a sudden cardiac arrest after one week. Advanced age and stage are poor predictors for survival in patients with aggressive cervical leiomyosarcomas, even more so, in those with severe comorbidities. Meticulous clinical evaluation and systematic incorporation of comorbidity indices in decision-making for tailored cancer treatment is imperative in arriving at a justified plan of action for this rare and aggressive entity.
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BACKGROUND@#Airway stents are used to treat central airway stenosis or tracheal fistula caused by a variety of malignant and benign tracheal diseases as well as iatrogenic procedures. Airway stent placement has a satisfying effect in instantly relieving of symptoms, but the long-term survival of patients still depends on the individualized treatment of the primary diseases. Therefore, exploring the prognostic risk factors of patients who received airway stent placement can be beneficial to the optimization of the placement procedure and also the improvement of individualized clinical management of patients.@*METHODS@#Data of a total of 66 patients who underwent airway stent placement at the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University from January 2014 to June 2017 were retrospectively collected. Prognostic effects of the clinical characteristics as age, gender, Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) and procedure duration were analyzed.@*RESULTS@#Age and gender had no significant effect on the outcomes of the patients, while higher CCI (P=0.045) and procedure duration over 60 min (P=0.037) were both independent risk factors of poor prognosis. A prognostic nomogram was then constructed, of which the area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the concordance index (C-index) was 0.71 and 0.69, respectively.@*CONCLUSIONS@#For patients receiving airway stent placement, the baseline CCI and the procedure duration had prognostic significance in clinical practice.
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STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to identify features associated with increased mortality risk in traumatic C2 fractures in the elderly, including measures of comorbidity and frailty. OVERVIEW OF LITERATURE: C2 fractures in the elderly are of increasing relevance in the setting of an aging global population and have a high mortality rate. Previous analyzes of risk factors for mortality have not included the measures of comorbidity and/or frailty, and no local data have been reported to date. METHODS: This study comprises a retrospective review of 70 patients of age >65 years at Waikato Hospital, New Zealand with traumatic C2 fractures identified on computed tomography between 2010 and 2016. Demographic details, medical history, laboratory results on admission, mechanism of injury, and neurological status on presentation were recorded. Medical comorbidities were also detailed allowing calculation of the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and the modified Frailty Index (mFI). RESULTS: The most common mechanism of injury was a fall from standing height (n=52, 74.3%). Mortality rates were 14.3% (n=10) at day 30, and 35.7% (n=25) at 1 year. Bivariate analysis showed that both CCI and mFI correlated with 1-year mortality rates. Reduced albumin and hemoglobin levels were also associated with 30-day and 1-year mortality rates. Forward stepwise logistic regression models determined CCI and low hemoglobin as predictors of mortality within 30 days, whereas CCI, low albumin, increased age, and female gender predicted mortality at 1 year. CONCLUSIONS: The CCI was a useful tool for predicting mortality at 1 year in the patient cohort. Other variables, including common laboratory markers, can also be used for risk stratification, to initiate timely multidisciplinary management, and prognostic counseling for patients and family members.
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PURPOSE: Previous western studies have found Caucasians with skin cancer, either melanoma or nonmelanoma skin cancer (NMSC), have an elevated risk of second primary cancer. Our objective was to assess the risk of second primary cancer in Taiwanese with NMSC. MATERIALS AND METHODS: By using data from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database, we conducted a population-based cohort study to assess the risk of incident second primary cancer in Taiwanese affected by NMSC. RESULTS: We identified 505 subjects with NMSC and 2,020 matched controls. After adjustment for potential confounders including age, sex, urbanization, and Charlson Comorbidity Index, people who had NMSC had a 1.43-fold (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05 to 1.96) risk for the development of second primary cancer as comparedwith control group. Menwith NMSC had a 2.99-fold (95% CI, 1.00 to 9.10) risk for second primary cancer involving the lip, oral cavity, and pharynx and a 3.51-fold (95% CI, 1.21 to 10.17) risk for second primary cancer involving the genitourinary organs when compared to the control group. By contrast, women with NMSC did not have an increased risk of second primary cancer. CONCLUSION: This study revealed Asians with NMSC have an increased risk of second primary cancer. Our findings can be a useful reference for health care for people diagnosed with NMSC.
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Female , Humans , Asian People , Cohort Studies , Comorbidity , Delivery of Health Care , Lip , Melanoma , Mouth , National Health Programs , Neoplasms, Second Primary , Pharynx , Skin Neoplasms , Skin , UrbanizationABSTRACT
Objective To explore methods to develop a hospital quality of care index system of county level hospitals based on the homepage of inpatient medical records and examine the validity of this system. Methods By means of literature review, homepage data and panel discussion, along with theories and statistical methods, indexes were identified. The dimensions and indices of the index system were pinpointed. Confirmatory factor analysis and normalization methods were combined to calculate the weights and scores of such indices. Scores were adjusted by Charlson comorbidity index ( CCI) with multi-regression method. The hospitals were ranked by adjusted scores in each dimension. The validity was evaluated by comparing the application results to universally acknowledged standards, such as hospital level and economic level of the geographic areas. Results An index system with 6 dimensions and 25 indices was developed, and the application results proved valid to some extent. The adjustment of CCI also proved effective. The 6 dimensions were correlated yet their directions were not consistent. Conclusions The methods and data used to develop the system have demonstrated strong operability and availability. The application results can reflect medical care quality in different aspects making it applicable among homogeneous hospitals. It is meaningful to assess dimensions respectively.
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Objective@#To explore the clinical features and prognostic factors of elderly MM patients.@*Methods@#A retrospectively analysis of clinical characteristics in 93 newly diagnosed MM patients with more than 70 years of old between August 2011 and August 2016. Based on age, basic activities of daily living scale, instrumental activities of daily living scale, Charlson comorbidity index at diagnosis, patients were divided into three groups: Fit (score=0, n=15) , Intermediate fitness (score=1, n=31) , Frail (score≥2, n=47) according to a geriatric assessment system proposed by Antonio Palumbo et al. The treatment response rate, progression free survival time (PFS) and overall survival (OS) of the three groups were analyzed.@*Results@#Complete remission was 60.0% in Fit, 22.6% in Intermediate fitness and 12.8% in Frail (Fisher χ2=12.398, P=0.002) . The median PFS for the three groups were 31 months, 24 months and 13 months (χ2=17.832, P<0.001) . The median OS was not reached for Fit, 58 months for Intermediate fitness and 25 months for Frail (χ2=40.678, P<0.001) . In 47 Frail cases, patients who received chemotherapy containing new drugs (proteasome inhibitor or immune-modulator) had a longer PFS (17 months vs 9 months, χ2=6.454, P=0.011) and patients who achieved CR had prolonged PFS and OS than non-CR (PFS: 24 months vs 12 months, χ2=4.117, P=0.042; OS: 37 months vs 25 months, χ2= 6.507, P=0.011) .@*Conclusion@#The health status of the elderly MM patients was associated with better response and longer PFS and OS. Given on those with poor health status, new drugs may have better PFS and prolonged OS.
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PURPOSE: The aim of this study is to investigate the impact of age on short-term outcomes after colorectal surgery in terms of the 30-day postoperative morbidity and mortality rates. METHODS: The subjects for the study were patients who had undergone colorectal surgery. Patients were divided into 2 groups according to age; groups A and B patients were ≥80 and <80 years old of age, respectively. Both groups were manually matched for body mass index, American Society of Anesthesiologists score, Charlson Comorbidity Index and procedure performed. RESULTS: A total of 200 patients, 91 men (45.5%) and 109 women (54.5%), were included in this retrospective study. These patients were equally divided into 2 groups. The mean ages were 85 years in group A (range, 80 to 104 years) and 55.3 years in group B (range, 13 to 79 years). The overall 30-day postoperative mortality rate was 1% of total 200 patients; both of these 2 patients were in group A. However, this observation had no statistical significance. No intraoperative complications were encountered in either group. The overall 30-day postoperative morbidity rate was 27% (54 of 200) for both groups. The 30-day postoperative morbidity rates in groups A and B were 28% (28 of 100) and 26% (26 of 100), respectively. However, these differences between the groups had no statistical significance importance. CONCLUSION: Age alone should not be considered to be more of a contraindication or a worse predictor than other factors for the outcome after colorectal surgery on elderly patients.